Thursday’s Europa League semi-final first leg in Vigo looks sure to be a cagey affair.

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Man Utd have made heavy weather of their last two Europa League knockout rounds, scraping past Rostov and needing extra-time to overcome Anderlecht, while scoring no more than one goal in each of the four legs. They’re still odds-on to win the competition, but to progress to the final must overcome a Celta Vigo side that appear to have given up domestically to concentrate solely on this. The Spaniards have lost five of their last six in the league, but have won four of six matches in the Europa knockout stages, losing only to the more fancied Shakhtar Donetsk in this run.

With yet another draw at Old Trafford on the weekend it’s becoming increasingly more likely that United’s best chance of qualifying for next season’s Champions League is by winning this competition. They lost their first two road matches in the group stages but have since gone unbeaten, though they’ve managed to score more than once on only one occasion across these six fixtures.

English sides have a very poor record when travelling to Spanish sides in this competition, losing seven of eight winless matches since 2004/05, though this would be only the third time the Premier League side has been ranked higher in our gradings. Nonetheless, home sides have lost just three of 34 first-leg Europa League semi-finals this century, and so with Bailly and Shaw adding to the injury list on the weekend we think Mourinho will be happy to get back to Old Trafford with the scores still level. The draw has occurred in six of their last nine in all competitions and again looks the most likely outcome.

Tip: Draw

Celta Vigo v Man Utd [1×2] Best Odds : 3.3 ONLY at 1xBet