The Rams are a tough nut to crack at their home ground.
Derby v Hull – Friday
These sides have seemingly endured a mixed start to the season as they’re both W2-D1-L2 so far, but whilst Hull sit four places above Derby by virtue of goal difference we think the visitors will be the happier of the two. The Tigers have netted 12 goals already this season, but eight came against strugglers Bolton and Bury, whilst their only two fixtures with sides currently in the top 10, QPR and Wolves, ended in defeat. The Rams, meanwhile, have already played three of the current top seven as well as relegated Sunderland making their results the more impressive.
In fact, Derby hold a W4-D4-L1 record at home to relegated sides since 2014/15, keeping a clean sheet in five out of six over the last couple of seasons. Unsurprisingly, five of these six fixtures saw fewer than three goals, with no more than one in four, and the ‘unders’ trend hasn’t just been restricted to their games against relegated teams. 16 of Derby’s 25 home games (64%) since the start of last season have had fewer than three strikes, including both of their home games this term, so we’re backing under 2.5 goals again.
Tip: Under 2.5
Derby v Hull [Total Goals Over/Under]
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Aside from their record at home to relegated sides, Derby have generally impressed at the iPro Stadium, winning 12 of their last 20 there and only losing twice. They kept a clean sheet in eight of these victories, with six of these by either 1-0 or 2-0 scorelines, and so for those who wish to get the hosts on side we’d recommend Derby/under 2.5 . In fact, five finished 1-0, which is our correct score punt.
Tip: Derby/Under 2.5
Derby v Hull [Match Result And Over/Under 2 5]
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Tip: Derby 1-0
Derby v Hull [Correct Score]
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