The best bets from the second week of the new La Liga season.
Espanyol v Leganes, Sunday
Espanyol were unlucky not to leave a difficult trip to Sevilla with victory after the hosts benefited from a dubious goal. Nevertheless, it was a well-earned point and they’ll fancy their chances of picking up a first win at home to Leganes. The Madrid minnows won three of their first four away matches in La Liga last term, but each was against a bottom-eight club, and they won’t have the surprise factor this time round. Thereafter they lost 11 of 15 winless road games and we fear for them travelling to some of the division’s stronger home teams. Last term Espanyol won five of six unbeaten matches against the bottom-six finishers and going back further its 10 victories from their last 14. The permanent signing of last season’s most creative player, Pablo Piatti, is a major boost and we think the home side look great value for all three points.
Tip: Espanyol
Espanyol v Leganes
Getafe vs Sevilla, Sunday
In their return to La Liga, Getafe earnt a goalless draw at Bilbao with an impressive defensive display. Pepe Bordalas got them promoted with a relatively defensive style and they look set to continue with that. Sevilla had playmaker Ever Banega got sent off on his return to Sevilla in their 1-1 draw with Espanyol last week and they could find the new boys hard to break down. Since 2012/13, 66% of promoted teams’ home matches against top-half non-Big Two finishers have settled Under 2.5 Goals.
Tip: Under 2.5
Getafe v FC Sevilla [Total Goals Over/Under]
Real Madrid vs Valencia, Sunday
Real Madrid began their title defence with an easy victory at Deportivo despite the absence of Cristiano Ronaldo, while Sergio Ramos got one of his obligatory red cards for the season out the way early. After their La Liga-Champions League double they certainly look the team to beat again, particularly after their displays against Barca in the Supercopa. However, they usually give their opponents a chance as they kept just five home clean sheet last term.
Valencia got their campaign underway with a home victory over Las Palmas, but last term they struggled on the road, losing 11 of 13 trips to sides outside the bottom-six. However, they did net in eight of these defeats, whilst in their 16 league encounters with Real and Barcelona since 2013/14, they’ve only twice failed to score. With Ramos unavailable for Los Blancos we fancy Valencia to find the net in defeat.
Tip: Real Madrid & BTTS
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