Football League betting expert Mike Holden has the best betting advice for Monday’s huge clash.
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In the last 16 seasons of the Championship play-off final, the ‘both teams to score’ bet has copped just three times. With so much at stake – in financial terms, £200m this time around – uncertainty avoidance is inevitable. Teams launch only measured attacks at the opposition goal and, even when the deadlock is broken, defensive solidity remains the number one priority.
So given how both these teams pride themselves on their tactical discipline in any case, we should brace ourselves for a cagey affair. But unlike the seven occasions since 2004 when the game has been settled by a solitary strike inside 90 minutes, this might follow the path of 2002 and 2013 to go beyond normal time without a breakthrough. Back the draw at 11/5 and no goalscorer at 15/2.
Neither team was particularly fancied in their semi final and will take an underdog spirit to Wembley, so both might feel justified in being slightly more risk-averse than if supremacy was obvious. The bookmakers make Huddersfield clear favourites, through popularity as much as anything, but David Wagner is doing a fine job of keeping up the fairytale narrative.
Only twice in 30 years has a penalty shootout been required to settle this contest, the last being when Birmingham beat Norwich 15 years ago. All things considered, we’re probably overdue another and Huddersfield on penalties at 12/1 looks the better option of the two, given they prevailed by that method at Hillsborough and the intimidating German angle on which they played.
Tip: Draw
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Tip : No Goalscorer
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Tip: Huddersfield on Penalties
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