We fancy Bayern to really turn it on when they host Sevilla in the second leg.
Without playing their best, Bayern took control of this quarter-final tie with a 2-1 victory in Spain. It means Jupp Heynckes has been triumphant in each of the last 12 matches he’s overseen in the competition, a run that dates back to his previous spell where he led the Bavarians to an unprecedented treble. They’ve already wrapped up the Bundesliga title and the 72-year-old even had the luxury of resting eight of the starting XI from the first-leg on the weekend as they focus on recreating that famous treble.
Only one side this century has qualified from a Champions League knockout tie after losing the first-leg at home by a one-goal margin, so the enormity of the task for Sevilla is there for all to see. They won impressively at Old Trafford in the round of 16 but a trip to the Allianz Arena is a different kettle of fish. A better comparison is their record travelling to the Big Two in La Liga, and it’s very poor, as they’ve lost their last 13 while conceding an average of 3.3 goals per game and trailing at the break in 11.
Tip: Bayern Munich/Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich v Sevilla [Half Time/Full Time]
Bayern have lead at half-time and full-time in their four home Champions League matches this season. Furthermore, if we exclude opposition ranked in Europe’s top five, the German champions have won all 15 home matches since 2014/15, leading at the interval in 13 and covering the -2 handicap in 12.
Tip: Bayern Munich -2
Bayern Munich v Sevilla [Handicaps]
In four of the five knockout games in this spread, Bayern netted at least five goals, including in the last round against Besiktas. It’s difficult to see how Sevilla are going to contain their hosts who have scored five or more goals in five of their last eight at the Allianz Arena in all competitions.
Tip: Over 4.5
Bayern Munich v Sevilla [Total Bayern Munich Goals]
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