Goals could be thin on the ground in Thursday night’s Confederations Cup clash.
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Joachim Low has selected a very inexperienced squad for this tournament yet despite two goalkeeping errors they still dominated Australia to win their opener 3-2. Chile also won against Cameroon, with two goals in the final 10 minutes enough to seal maximum points after a torrent of early chances had been squandered.
After winning the last two editions of the Copa America (2015 and 2016) Chile have shown they belong at the top table of world football, and indeed they’re W3-D2-L1 over their last six games against sides we have ranked in the top 10, scoring 12 and conceding just twice. Since winning the World Cup the Germans have lost three of their four matches against top 10 sides since (we have Chile 9th), and in the same time are a very poor W1-D2-L5 against teams in the top-15.
Alexis Sanchez is unlikely to feature from the start here, but aside from him Juan Antonio Pizzi has an experienced and strong squad to choose from. Germany’s experimental squad has left them slight underdogs according to the bookies, but we think this should be a tight game. Both teams like to heavily press and often the result of two such teams playing each other is a game that gets bogged down in midfield. Nine of Germany’s last 12 matches against top-10 sides have featured fewer than three goals, and at 2.47 we think there’s some value to be found backing under 2.5 goals. Indeed, Germany ran out 1-0 winners when these two last met just before the 2014 World Cup.
Tip: Under 2.5
Germany v Chile [Total Goals Over/Under] Best Odds : 2.47 ONLY at 1xBet