Atletico Madrid v Chelsea

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Antonio Conte’s sides aren’t known for being good travellers.

Atletico Madrid may be at a new stadium but they appear to have picked up where they left off at the Calderon as they’ve won their two games at their new home 1-0 and 2-0, the latest of those against Sevilla. They’re W18-D4-L1 at home in the Champions League since 2013/14 and at odds-against, they look a fair bet after they were somewhat unfortunate not to win on matchday one in Rome as they dominated with 10 shots on target compared to Roma’s solitary effort, but were held to a goalless draw.

This will be Antonio Conte’s first real test with Chelsea in the Champions League but he didn’t have the best away record with Juve in his last season there in 2013/14 as he picked up just one point in the group stages, at Copenhagen, as his side lost at Real and Galatasaray. Indeed, he picked up just one point from trips to Arsenal, Spurs, Liverpool and Man Utd last term and since the Blues failed to score in each of their defeats at these teams, we’re backing Atletico to win to nil.

Yes

Atletico Madrid v Chelsea [Atletico Madrid To Win To Nil]

If we only include opponents we have ranked in Europe’s top-10, Atletico are W6-D2-L0 at home since 2013/14 as they’ve beaten the likes of Real, Barca and Bayern whilst conceding just once across all these. They led at the break in five of these six wins but six of the games saw fewer than two goals as Atleti have been masters at protecting a lead. Under 2.5 Goals looks a banker here while we’re going to take a chance on the 1-0 Atleti correct score for our longshot.

Under 2.5

Atletico Madrid v Chelsea [Total Goals Over/Under]

Atletico Madrid 1-0

Atletico Madrid v Chelsea [Correct Score]

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